Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Cozens 45.9% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 68.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Horvat
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Horvat
Cozens
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Cozens
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
7
Horvat
Cozens
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Cozens
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
46.7% (786)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
43.9% (171)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
42.3% (189)
+9.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cozens
Home
54.2% (714)
46.2% (567)
Away
53.6% (705)
44.9% (579)
By Period
Horvat
Cozens
P1
53.5%
46.5%
P2
56.3%
46.5%
P3
53.5%
44.2%
OT
28.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |