Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Strome 52.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 61.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Horvat
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Horvat
Strome
Last 8: Horvat 4-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Horvat
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
50.6% (1,002)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
59.9% (299)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
57.9% (19)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Horvat
Strome
Home
54.2% (714)
51.9% (700)
Away
53.6% (705)
53.9% (620)
By Period
Horvat
Strome
P1
53.5%
51.6%
P2
56.3%
53.0%
P3
53.5%
54.3%
OT
28.6%
44.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |