Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Luostarinen 43.4% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 89.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Horvat
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Luostarinen
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Luostarinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Luostarinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Luostarinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
41.4% (365)
+13.3%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
46.7% (15)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
44.7% (38)
+7.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Horvat
Luostarinen
Home
59.8% (853)
41.5% (207)
Away
53.8% (832)
42.2% (211)
By Period
Horvat
Luostarinen
P1
55.0%
38.2%
P2
58.3%
44.9%
P3
57.8%
42.9%
OT
44.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.9%
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |