Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Staal 50.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 49-35 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 56.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 78.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 68.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
35
(84 meetings)
49
35
Horvat
Staal
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
20
17
Horvat
Staal
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
13
8
Horvat
Staal
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
16
10
Horvat
Staal
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
50.5% (10,347)
+3.4%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
53.5% (2,023)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
44.2% (781)
+2.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
56.0% (8,355)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
54.4%
51.1%
P3
55.0%
50.4%
OT
49.6%
55.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |