Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Staal 46.6% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 68.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Staal
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Horvat
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
49.6% (565)
+5.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
35.0% (20)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
35.4% (158)
+16.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
59.8% (853)
46.1% (380)
Away
53.8% (832)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
55.0%
45.7%
P2
58.3%
46.2%
P3
57.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Eric Staal |