Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Rodrigues 46.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 77.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 73.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Horvat
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Horvat
Rodrigues
Last 9: Horvat 6-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Rodrigues
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Rodrigues
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Rodrigues
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
46.6% (560)
+7.4%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
42.4% (59)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
50.0% (36)
+0.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rodrigues
Home
57.2% (987)
48.5% (379)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
43.5% (276)
By Period
Horvat
Rodrigues
P1
53.9%
48.8%
P2
53.7%
43.8%
P3
53.6%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | OT | 01:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |