Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Rodrigues 45.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 82.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Horvat
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Horvat
Rodrigues
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Rodrigues
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
4
Horvat
Rodrigues
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Rodrigues
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
45.9% (2,771)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
44.8% (281)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
42.1% (209)
+4.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (5,956).
Horvat shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,312).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rodrigues
Home
56.0% (8,277)
46.7% (1,745)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
44.3% (1,516)
By Period
Horvat
Rodrigues
P1
54.1%
46.7%
P2
54.4%
45.9%
P3
54.9%
44.0%
OT
50.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | OT | 01:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |