Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 91.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 91.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 88.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Horvat
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Horvat
Rodrigues
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
4
Horvat
Rodrigues
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
5
Horvat
Rodrigues
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
46.2% (2,883)
+7.7%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
45.0% (298)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
42.9% (219)
+4.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rodrigues
Home
56.0% (8,355)
47.1% (1,820)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Horvat
Rodrigues
P1
54.1%
46.9%
P2
54.4%
46.1%
P3
55.0%
44.6%
OT
49.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | OT | 01:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |