Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Nazar 46.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 74.3%
Defensive zone
Nazar 74.1%
Neutral zone
Nazar 71.3%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Horvat
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Nazar
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Horvat
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Nazar
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Horvat
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
46.3% (907)
+7.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
48.1% (183)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
35.6% (73)
+11.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nazar
Home
56.1% (8,423)
44.2% (536)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.4% (627)
By Period
Horvat
Nazar
P1
54.1%
47.7%
P2
54.5%
42.2%
P3
55.0%
47.1%
OT
49.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |