Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs McKegg 49.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 78.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Horvat
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Horvat
McKegg
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
McKegg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
McKegg
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
McKegg
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
49.1% (1,143)
+4.8%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
50.0% (24)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
48.8% (86)
-1.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Horvat
McKegg
Home
56.0% (8,355)
50.4% (554)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Horvat
McKegg
P1
54.1%
48.7%
P2
54.4%
49.9%
P3
55.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |