Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs McKegg 46.9% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Horvat
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat
McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
McKegg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
45.9% (146)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
35.7% (14)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Horvat
McKegg
Home
58.8% (724)
45.3% (64)
Away
55.3% (751)
44.8% (96)
By Period
Horvat
McKegg
P1
57.0%
48.1%
P2
57.5%
50.0%
P3
57.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |