Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Barbashev 42.3% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 55.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 50.3%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 54.0%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Horvat
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Horvat
Barbashev
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
2
Horvat
Barbashev
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
3
Horvat
Barbashev
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Barbashev
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
42.1% (1,726)
+11.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
47.1% (87)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
36.7% (139)
+10.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,575).
Horvat shoots left. Barbashev is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,165).
Home / Away
Horvat
Barbashev
Home
56.0% (8,277)
42.5% (926)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
41.4% (1,026)
By Period
Horvat
Barbashev
P1
54.1%
40.9%
P2
54.4%
42.5%
P3
54.9%
42.3%
OT
50.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |