Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Finley 49.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 60.5%
Defensive zone
Finley 75.3%
Neutral zone
Finley 67.1%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Horvat
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Finley
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
4
Horvat
Finley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Finley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
47.5% (244)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
50.0% (14)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
57.7% (26)
-10.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Horvat
Finley
Home
56.0% (8,355)
50.0% (162)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
46.7% (122)
By Period
Horvat
Finley
P1
54.1%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
44.6%
P3
55.0%
49.5%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jack Finley |