Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Hughes 38.6% (+21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 69.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 95.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 92.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Horvat
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Hughes
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Horvat
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Hughes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
35.6% (362)
+20.7%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
38.5% (91)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
33.3% (9)
+16.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hughes
Home
57.3% (742)
37.6% (255)
Away
57.4% (741)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Horvat
Hughes
P1
59.0%
28.5%
P2
59.7%
39.2%
P3
53.6%
40.8%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |