Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Hughes 39.2% (+20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 88.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Horvat
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Horvat
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
37.9% (623)
+20.7%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
33.3% (33)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
36.4% (11)
+9.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hughes
Home
59.2% (684)
36.6% (314)
Away
57.0% (635)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Horvat
Hughes
P1
57.9%
36.4%
P2
55.4%
35.6%
P3
61.5%
41.8%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |