Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Spezza 52.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 68.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 60.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 66.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Horvat
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Horvat
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Horvat
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
53.7% (451)
+1.9%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
54.3% (92)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
38.2% (34)
+11.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Horvat
Spezza
Home
58.8% (724)
55.0% (282)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Horvat
Spezza
P1
57.0%
53.1%
P2
57.5%
53.2%
P3
57.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |