Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Beagle 57.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 57.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 60.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Horvat
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Beagle
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Horvat
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
58.1% (485)
-5.4%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
84.6% (13)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
55.4% (139)
-15.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Horvat is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (561).
Horvat shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Horvat
Beagle
Home
53.1% (723)
57.0% (307)
Away
48.8% (770)
59.1% (330)
By Period
Horvat
Beagle
P1
51.1%
59.1%
P2
52.6%
59.8%
P3
48.8%
56.4%
OT
57.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |