Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Beagle 56.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 64.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 52.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Horvat
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Horvat
Beagle
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
2
Horvat
Beagle
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Beagle
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
3
Horvat
Beagle
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
57.5% (4,994)
-3.6%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
60.5% (119)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
54.2% (1,554)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Horvat
Beagle
Home
56.0% (8,355)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Horvat
Beagle
P1
54.1%
57.4%
P2
54.4%
57.1%
P3
55.0%
56.2%
OT
49.6%
41.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |