Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Larsson 48.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 72.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 91.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 80.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Horvat
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Horvat
Larsson
Last 6: Horvat 0-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Horvat
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Horvat
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
Horvat
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
48.4% (506)
+7.9%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
62.5% (24)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
44.9% (138)
+4.5%
On even strength, Horvat has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larsson
Home
57.3% (742)
51.9% (335)
Away
57.4% (741)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Horvat
Larsson
P1
59.0%
48.7%
P2
59.7%
48.3%
P3
53.6%
48.1%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |