Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Larsson 49.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 73.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 92.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 82.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Horvat
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Horvat
Larsson
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Larsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
8
Horvat
Larsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
8
Horvat
Larsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
50.5% (4,382)
+3.4%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
47.7% (153)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
43.8% (714)
+3.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larsson
Home
56.0% (8,355)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Horvat
Larsson
P1
54.1%
51.6%
P2
54.4%
49.7%
P3
55.0%
47.2%
OT
49.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2018 | OT | 04:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |