Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Drouin 49.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Drouin 53.6%
Neutral zone
Drouin 58.8%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Horvat
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Horvat
Drouin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
47.5% (181)
+7.8%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
56.8% (44)
+5.4%
On even strength, Horvat has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Horvat
Drouin
Home
58.2% (469)
49.5% (97)
Away
54.0% (544)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Horvat
Drouin
P1
59.6%
52.1%
P2
53.1%
51.5%
P3
55.5%
45.0%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |