Scouting Report
Justin Williams holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Williams 52.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 63.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 86.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.1%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Horvat
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Williams
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
1
4
Horvat
Williams
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
1
Horvat
Williams
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
45.0% (40)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
59.2% (76)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
100.0% (1)
-55.1%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Horvat is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Horvat shoots left. Williams is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Horvat
Williams
Home
52.0% (767)
53.2% (62)
Away
48.8% (731)
56.4% (55)
By Period
Horvat
Williams
P1
47.1%
51.9%
P2
49.4%
56.0%
P3
54.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
68.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Justin Williams |