Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Williams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Williams 45.4% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 91.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.3%
Neutral zone
Williams 81.2%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Horvat
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Horvat
Williams
Last 8: Horvat 2-6 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
2
4
Horvat
Williams
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
2
Horvat
Williams
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
41.5% (386)
+12.4%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
51.0% (243)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
34.6% (26)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Horvat
Williams
Home
56.0% (8,355)
46.2% (327)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
43.3% (328)
By Period
Horvat
Williams
P1
54.1%
39.9%
P2
54.4%
46.1%
P3
55.0%
49.0%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Justin Williams |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Justin Williams |