Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Eller 49.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 60.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Horvat
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Horvat
Eller
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Horvat
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Horvat
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
49.9% (821)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
52.7% (74)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
43.9% (214)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Horvat shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Horvat
Eller
Home
57.2% (987)
49.4% (559)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Horvat
Eller
P1
53.9%
50.1%
P2
53.7%
46.7%
P3
53.6%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |