Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Eller 53.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Horvat
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Horvat
Eller
Last 9: Horvat 5-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Horvat
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
53.8% (865)
+0.9%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
57.1% (21)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
52.6% (137)
-0.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Horvat
Eller
Home
59.8% (853)
56.4% (486)
Away
53.8% (832)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Horvat
Eller
P1
55.0%
55.1%
P2
58.3%
55.3%
P3
57.8%
51.7%
OT
44.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |