Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Kempe 40.7% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 71.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 68.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Horvat
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Horvat
Kempe
Last 9: Horvat 5-4 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Kempe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
2
Horvat
Kempe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Kempe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
38.7% (380)
+15.2%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
33.3% (3)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
31.3% (16)
+15.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kempe
Home
56.0% (8,355)
40.1% (177)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Horvat
Kempe
P1
54.1%
34.7%
P2
54.4%
40.4%
P3
55.0%
38.8%
OT
49.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |