Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Jankowski 54.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 77.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 71.1%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 54.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Horvat
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Horvat
Jankowski
Last 7: Horvat 3-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Horvat
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
58.6% (273)
-3.9%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
66.7% (3)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
43.3% (67)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jankowski
Home
59.8% (853)
54.7% (128)
Away
53.8% (832)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Horvat
Jankowski
P1
55.0%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
56.5%
P3
57.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |