Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 84.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Horvat
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Scheifele
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
48.1% (1,045)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
48.6% (181)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
44.4% (27)
+6.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Horvat
Scheifele
Home
54.2% (714)
52.7% (630)
Away
53.6% (705)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Horvat
Scheifele
P1
53.5%
50.3%
P2
56.3%
46.8%
P3
53.5%
47.5%
OT
28.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |