Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 87.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 82.8%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 58.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Horvat
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Rantanen
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Horvat
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
50.9% (334)
+3.8%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
43.7% (119)
+23.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rantanen
Home
59.8% (853)
49.4% (241)
Away
53.8% (832)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Horvat
Rantanen
P1
55.0%
47.1%
P2
58.3%
46.7%
P3
57.8%
51.9%
OT
44.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |