Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.3%). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Frost 55.7% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Frost 62.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Horvat
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
54.9% (701)
+0.4%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
60.8% (166)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
100.0% (5)
-53.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Horvat
Frost
Home
58.2% (469)
56.0% (443)
Away
54.0% (544)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Horvat
Frost
P1
59.6%
58.9%
P2
53.1%
55.3%
P3
55.5%
54.0%
OT
55.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%