Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Thompson 52.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 62.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Thompson
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Horvat
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
56.3% (199)
-6.3%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
66.7% (6)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
35.0% (40)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
52.0% (767)
59.5% (116)
Away
48.8% (731)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
47.1%
47.4%
P2
49.4%
56.2%
P3
54.3%
55.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |