Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Thompson 54.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Thompson
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
55.5% (236)
+0.1%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
60.0% (5)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
56.5% (46)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
58.8% (724)
53.1% (128)
Away
55.3% (751)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
57.0%
59.0%
P2
57.5%
55.4%
P3
57.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |