Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Thompson 54.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Thompson
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
55.8% (654)
+0.5%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
50.0% (10)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
51.2% (123)
-1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
57.3% (742)
57.0% (421)
Away
57.4% (741)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
59.0%
57.9%
P2
59.7%
52.3%
P3
53.6%
55.2%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |