Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Foligno 49.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Horvat
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Horvat
Foligno
Last 9: Horvat 5-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Horvat
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
49.0% (261)
+6.3%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
57.1% (42)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
47.1% (51)
-0.6%
On even strength, Horvat has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Horvat
Foligno
Home
58.2% (469)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.0% (544)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Horvat
Foligno
P1
59.6%
40.4%
P2
53.1%
55.8%
P3
55.5%
51.2%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |