Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 91.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Horvat
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Horvat
Foligno
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
2
Horvat
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
5
Horvat
Foligno
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
48.3% (2,810)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
52.3% (730)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
44.0% (455)
+3.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Horvat
Foligno
Home
56.0% (8,355)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Horvat
Foligno
P1
54.1%
47.6%
P2
54.4%
50.4%
P3
55.0%
48.3%
OT
49.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |