Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Foligno 48.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 59.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Horvat
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horvat
Foligno
Last 6: Horvat 3-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Horvat
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Horvat
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
47.1% (227)
+5.0%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
46.7% (15)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
52.4% (21)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Horvat
Foligno
Home
53.1% (420)
45.7% (116)
Away
49.8% (428)
49.0% (147)
By Period
Horvat
Foligno
P1
52.4%
53.8%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
52.8%
40.4%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |