Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 61.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Horvat
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Horvat
Schmaltz
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
4
Horvat
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
45.9% (665)
+9.4%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
46.8% (111)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
50.0% (24)
-3.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Horvat
Schmaltz
Home
58.2% (469)
44.7% (409)
Away
54.0% (544)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Horvat
Schmaltz
P1
59.6%
40.3%
P2
53.1%
47.6%
P3
55.5%
51.0%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |