Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.5%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Acciari 53.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 85.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 89.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Horvat
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Horvat
Acciari
Last 7: Horvat 3-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Horvat
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
55.6% (426)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
0.0% (2)
+56.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
52.1% (146)
-0.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Horvat
Acciari
Home
54.2% (714)
55.2% (306)
Away
53.6% (705)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Horvat
Acciari
P1
53.5%
55.5%
P2
56.3%
54.3%
P3
53.5%
54.1%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |