Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.8%). Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Zacha 54.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Horvat
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Zacha
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Horvat
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
53.9% (787)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
63.2% (193)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
44.3% (88)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Horvat
Zacha
Home
54.2% (714)
56.7% (538)
Away
53.6% (705)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Horvat
Zacha
P1
53.5%
52.6%
P2
56.3%
54.8%
P3
53.5%
56.8%
OT
28.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |