Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.3%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Danault 54.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 68.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Horvat
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Horvat
Danault
Last 7: Horvat 3-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Horvat
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Horvat
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
56.5% (711)
-1.2%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
46.0% (50)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
51.7% (116)
-5.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Horvat
Danault
Home
58.2% (469)
57.0% (379)
Away
54.0% (544)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Horvat
Danault
P1
59.6%
55.8%
P2
53.1%
55.3%
P3
55.5%
54.8%
OT
55.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |