Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Greig 50.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 52.8%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Horvat
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Horvat
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Horvat
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
51.5% (336)
+3.8%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
66.7% (24)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
43.2% (81)
+3.3%
On power play, Greig has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Horvat
Greig
Home
58.2% (469)
50.2% (247)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Horvat
Greig
P1
59.6%
46.9%
P2
53.1%
58.8%
P3
55.5%
48.3%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |