Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Greig 48.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 83.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Horvat
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Horvat
Greig
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Greig
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
48.5% (1,133)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
56.8% (74)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
46.5% (172)
+0.6%
On even strength, Horvat has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Horvat
Greig
Home
56.0% (8,355)
49.8% (681)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Horvat
Greig
P1
54.1%
46.3%
P2
54.4%
51.2%
P3
55.0%
48.8%
OT
49.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |