Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Nash 51.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 50.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 68.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Horvat
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Nash
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
54.1% (292)
+1.5%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
57.1% (7)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
45.9% (98)
+3.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nash
Home
58.8% (724)
56.3% (183)
Away
55.3% (751)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Horvat
Nash
P1
57.0%
58.9%
P2
57.5%
51.0%
P3
57.0%
46.5%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |