Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Chartier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Chartier 51.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 77.4%
Defensive zone
Chartier 67.0%
Neutral zone
Chartier 53.9%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Horvat
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horvat
Chartier
Last 5: Horvat 1-4 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Chartier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
3
Horvat
Chartier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Horvat
Chartier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
54.2% (225)
-0.7%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
75.0% (4)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
43.3% (67)
+8.0%
On power play, Chartier has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Chartier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Horvat
Chartier
Home
54.2% (714)
49.5% (202)
Away
53.6% (705)
57.4% (94)
By Period
Horvat
Chartier
P1
53.5%
51.6%
P2
56.3%
49.5%
P3
53.5%
54.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |