Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Spooner 43.6% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 84.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Horvat
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Horvat
Spooner
Last 9: Horvat 5-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Spooner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
2
Horvat
Spooner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
43.1% (1,540)
+10.8%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
46.3% (67)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
42.1% (19)
+5.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Horvat
Spooner
Home
56.0% (8,355)
43.9% (779)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Horvat
Spooner
P1
54.1%
45.0%
P2
54.4%
46.2%
P3
55.0%
38.2%
OT
49.6%
35.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |