Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 67.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 76.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 77.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Horvat
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Horvat
Reinhart
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
6
Horvat
Reinhart
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
44.6% (345)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
43.3% (97)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
43.2% (88)
+8.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Horvat
Reinhart
Home
54.2% (714)
47.9% (267)
Away
53.6% (705)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Horvat
Reinhart
P1
53.5%
45.6%
P2
56.3%
42.0%
P3
53.5%
45.4%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |