Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Horvat
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Horvat
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Horvat
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
51.8% (444)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
45.3% (150)
+1.2%
On even strength, Horvat has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kuraly
Home
58.2% (469)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.0% (544)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Horvat
Kuraly
P1
59.6%
55.2%
P2
53.1%
45.7%
P3
55.5%
49.5%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |