Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Horvat
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Horvat
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Horvat
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
49.4% (445)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
100.0% (3)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
41.9% (117)
+9.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kuraly
Home
54.2% (714)
49.2% (248)
Away
53.6% (705)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Horvat
Kuraly
P1
53.5%
48.3%
P2
56.3%
44.7%
P3
53.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |