Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Washe 55.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.1%
Defensive zone
Washe 63.3%
Neutral zone
Washe 54.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Horvat
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Washe
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Washe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
2
Horvat
Washe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Horvat
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
59.8% (224)
-5.9%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
100.0% (3)
-39.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
41.7% (48)
+5.4%
On power play, Washe has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Washe is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Horvat
Washe
Home
56.0% (8,355)
62.0% (129)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Horvat
Washe
P1
54.1%
59.6%
P2
54.4%
59.3%
P3
55.0%
53.8%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Washe
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |