Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Johnson 48.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 86.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Horvat
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Johnson
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
48.5% (776)
+4.2%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
56.7% (157)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
26.4% (53)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Horvat is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (561).
Horvat shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johnson
Home
53.1% (723)
48.8% (482)
Away
48.8% (770)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Horvat
Johnson
P1
51.1%
50.3%
P2
52.6%
48.5%
P3
48.8%
47.0%
OT
57.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |