Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Johnson 45.7% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 53.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Horvat
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
44.6% (285)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
46.7% (60)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
16.7% (6)
+34.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johnson
Home
54.2% (714)
50.8% (179)
Away
53.6% (705)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Horvat
Johnson
P1
53.5%
41.3%
P2
56.3%
41.8%
P3
53.5%
49.6%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |